95 sources · every link checked September 2026
Sources, and how to weigh them
Every claim on Kura points here. Each source carries its type, a one-line account of what it actually showed, and the cards that lean on it. First, the five questions I would ask of any parenting claim, including these.
Five questions
Ask these of every claim, including ours.
- 01
- Who was studied?
- A result from very small preterm babies in Malawi, or from institutionalised infants in Bucharest, may not transfer to a healthy baby in a resourced home. Ask what population the trial enrolled before asking anything else.
- 02
- Were the groups assigned by chance?
- If parents chose whether to do X, then the families who do X differ in a hundred other ways too. Randomisation is what separates the milk from the mother.
- 03
- How big is the effect, in absolute terms?
- “Halves the risk” can mean from 2 in 100 to 1 in 100. Look for the two numbers rather than the ratio between them.
- 04
- Has it happened twice?
- One study, especially a small one with an exciting result, is a hypothesis. Pooled analyses of many studies are where confidence comes from.
- 05
- Who benefits from you believing it?
- A claim attached to a product, a class or a subscription deserves a higher bar. The strongest findings on this site mostly cost nothing, which I take to be a feature and not a coincidence.
Types of evidence
The chips, and the moon.
Roughly in order of how much a single one should move you. A pooled analysis of many trials sits at the top; an expert's summary sits near the bottom, however eminent the expert.
- RCT
- Randomised trial. People (here, babies or families) were assigned to groups by chance, so differences are most likely caused by the thing being tested.
- Follow-up
- Trial follow-up. The same randomised groups, measured again years later.
- Meta
- Pooled analysis. A systematic review or meta-analysis: many studies combined, with the combined effect size reported.
- Observational
- Observational study. Families were watched, not assigned. Good for spotting patterns, weaker for proving cause, because families who do X differ in many other ways too.
- Experiment
- Lab experiment. A controlled study of a specific mechanism, usually small and short.
- Guideline
- Professional guideline. A professional body’s formal recommendation, written by a committee that reviewed the evidence.
- Review
- Review. An expert summary of a field. Useful for orientation; not itself new evidence.
- Book
- Book. A book-length treatment. Cited for ideas and framing rather than for a single result.
- Web
- Authoritative web resource. A page maintained by a public-health body or research centre. Good for current recommendations; check the date.
The moon scale
- Strong
- Several randomised trials, or a large and consistent body of evidence, and the professional bodies agree.
- Good
- Solid evidence with modest effects, or strong evidence in one specific group of babies.
- Mixed
- A real signal, but observational, small, or a good deal weaker than the popular version of the claim.
- Weak
- Little or no evidence of benefit. Usually harmless.
- Avoid
- Evidence of harm, or a safety risk with no benefit to weigh against it.
The moon is a judgement made by the authors of this site, informed by the GRADE approach that guideline bodies use. The sources sit beside it so that you can disagree.
Where to look
Places that will still be right next year.
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HealthyChildren.org (opens in a new tab)
American Academy of Pediatrics
Parent-facing versions of the AAP guidelines. Current, plain, and the first place I would check a specific question.
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Learn the Signs. Act Early. (opens in a new tab)
US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Free milestone checklists by age and a tracker app, revised in 2022 to the ages most children actually reach each skill.
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Start for Life (opens in a new tab)
UK National Health Service
The NHS guidance on feeding, sleep, development and parental mental health. A useful second opinion where US and UK advice differ.
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Nurturing Care Framework (opens in a new tab)
WHO, UNICEF and the World Bank
The global consensus on the five components of early development that this site is organised around.
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Center on the Developing Child (opens in a new tab)
Harvard University
Serve and return, toxic stress, and the brain-architecture science, explained with short videos for parents and longer briefs for the curious.
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Cochrane (opens in a new tab)
Cochrane Collaboration
The independent pooled reviews of trials, each with a plain-language summary. When a claim has a Cochrane review, I would read that first.
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MedlinePlus (opens in a new tab)
US National Library of Medicine
Plain-language, advertising-free health information with links back to the primary sources.
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Zero to Three (opens in a new tab)
Zero to Three (non-profit)
Practical, developmentally grounded material on the first three years, written for parents and early educators.
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ParentData (opens in a new tab)
Emily Oster
An economist reading the parenting literature for a lay audience, with the numbers attached. Secondary rather than primary, and worth knowing about because it models the habit of asking how good the evidence is.
45 sources
What works
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Web2024
Serve and return (opens in a new tab)
Center on the Developing Child, Harvard University. developingchild.harvard.edu, Key concepts.
The clearest short explanation of back-and-forth interaction and why it builds brain architecture. Includes a five-step how-to and videos.
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Experiment1978
The infant’s response to entrapment between contradictory messages in face-to-face interaction (opens in a new tab)
Tronick E, Als H, Adamson L, Wise S, Brazelton TB. Journal of the American Academy of Child Psychiatry, 17(1), 1–13.
The “still face” experiment. When a parent goes blank for two minutes, a three-month-old works to get them back, then becomes distressed. Babies expect responsiveness.
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Meta2003
Less is more: meta-analyses of sensitivity and attachment interventions in early childhood (opens in a new tab)
Bakermans-Kranenburg MJ, van IJzendoorn MH, Juffer F. Psychological Bulletin, 129(2), 195–215.
70 studies. Programmes that coach parents to notice and respond to cues improved sensitivity (moderate effect) and attachment security (small effect). Short, focused programmes with fewer than 16 sessions worked better than long ones.
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RCT2012
Enhancing attachment organization among maltreated children: results of a randomized clinical trial (opens in a new tab)
Bernard K, Dozier M, Bick J, Lewis-Morrarty E, Lindhiem O, Carlson E. Child Development, 83(2), 623–636.
Attachment and Biobehavioral Catch-up (ABC), ten home visits, 120 high-risk families. Children of coached parents were markedly more likely to be securely attached and less likely to show disorganised attachment.
Cited inNotice what the baby does, and answer itSecure attachment
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RCT2015
Intervening to enhance cortisol regulation among children at risk for neglect: results of a randomized clinical trial (opens in a new tab)
Bernard K, Dozier M, Bick J, Gordon MK. Development and Psychopathology, 27(3), 829–841.
The same programme normalised children’s daily stress-hormone (cortisol) rhythm. Responsive parenting is measurable in the body.
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RCT2007
Cognitive recovery in socially deprived young children: the Bucharest Early Intervention Project (opens in a new tab)
Nelson CA, Zeanah CH, Fox NA, Marshall PJ, Smyke AT, Guthrie D. Science, 318(5858), 1937–1940.
136 institutionalised infants randomised to foster care or to remain. Fostered children gained about 8–9 IQ points by age four and a half; those placed before 24 months gained most. The strongest evidence that severe neglect harms, and that timing matters.
Cited inNotice what the baby does, and answer itUnbuffered adversityThe strongest trials come from high-risk populations"The first 1000 days" is real, but it is not a cliffRemoving harm does more than adding enrichment
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Meta2017
Attachment in the early life course: meta-analytic evidence for its role in socioemotional development (opens in a new tab)
Groh AM, Fearon RMP, van IJzendoorn MH, Bakermans-Kranenburg MJ, Roisman GI. Child Development Perspectives, 11(1), 70–76.
Pooled across many longitudinal studies: secure infant attachment predicts later social competence and fewer behaviour problems. The effects are real but modest, roughly 0.15–0.4 standard deviations.
Cited inNotice what the baby does, and answer itSecure attachment
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Observational2018
Beyond the 30-million-word gap: children’s conversational exposure is associated with language-related brain function (opens in a new tab)
Romeo RR, Leonard JA, Robinson ST, et al.. Psychological Science, 29(5), 700–710.
36 children aged 4–6 wore recorders. The number of back-and-forth conversational turns, not total words heard, predicted language scores and activation in Broca’s area, independent of family income.
Cited inTalk with the baby, and leave room for her to answerConversation and booksThe mechanism, nearly every time, is live back-and-forth
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Experiment2003
Foreign-language experience in infancy: effects of short-term exposure and social interaction on phonetic learning (opens in a new tab)
Kuhl PK, Tsao FM, Liu HM. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(15), 9096–9101.
Nine-month-old American babies learned Mandarin speech sounds from twelve sessions with a live speaker. Babies given the identical sessions on video or audio learned nothing.
Cited inTalk with the baby, and leave room for her to answer"Educational" baby videos and infant reading programmesThe mechanism, nearly every time, is live back-and-forth
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Observational2019
Reexamining the verbal environments of children from different socioeconomic backgrounds (opens in a new tab)
Sperry DE, Sperry LL, Miller PJ. Child Development, 90(4), 1303–1318.
The challenge to it. Recording whole households rather than only parent-to-child speech, the authors found no consistent word gap by income, and the 30-million figure should probably be retired.
Cited inTalk with the baby, and leave room for her to answer
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Observational2003
The early catastrophe: the 30 million word gap by age 3 (opens in a new tab)
Hart B, Risley TR. American Educator, 27(1), 4–9 (summary of the 1995 book Meaningful Differences).
The original 42-family study behind the famous number. Small sample, and the headline gap has not held up; the finding that talk quality predicts vocabulary has.
Cited inTalk with the baby, and leave room for her to answer
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Observational1994
Prediction of school outcomes based on early language production and socioeconomic factors (opens in a new tab)
Walker D, Greenwood C, Hart B, Carta J. Child Development, 65(2), 606–621.
Vocabulary at age three predicted reading and language scores in third grade.
Cited inTalk with the baby, and leave room for her to answerConversation and books
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RCT2000
Literacy promotion in primary care pediatrics: can we make a difference? (opens in a new tab)
High PC, LaGasse L, Becker S, Ahlgren I, Gardner A. Pediatrics, 105(4 Pt 2), 927–934.
Randomised version of the clinic-book programme, 205 families. Parents read more, and toddlers in the programme had larger vocabularies.
Cited inRead aloud from the start, and let her interruptConversation and booksThe mechanism, nearly every time, is live back-and-forth
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Observational2001
The impact of a clinic-based literacy intervention on language development in inner-city preschool children (opens in a new tab)
Mendelsohn AL, Mogilner LN, Dreyer BP, et al.. Pediatrics, 107(1), 130–134.
Reach Out and Read: a free book plus two minutes of coaching at each check-up. Children exposed to the programme scored higher on receptive and expressive language.
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RCT1988
Accelerating language development through picture book reading (opens in a new tab)
Whitehurst GJ, Falco FL, Lonigan CJ, et al.. Developmental Psychology, 24(4), 552–559.
The dialogic reading trial. Parents taught to ask open questions and expand the child’s answers produced measurably faster expressive language in a month.
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RCT2021
Immediate “kangaroo mother care” and survival of infants with low birth weight (opens in a new tab)
WHO Immediate KMC Study Group. New England Journal of Medicine, 384(21), 2028–2038.
Five countries, 3,211 babies weighing 1.0–1.799 kg. Starting continuous skin-to-skin immediately, rather than after stabilisation, cut deaths in the first 28 days from 15.7% to 12.0%. Stopped early because the benefit was clear.
Cited inHold her skin to skin, early and oftenThe strongest trials come from high-risk populations
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Meta2016
Kangaroo mother care to reduce morbidity and mortality in low birthweight infants (opens in a new tab)
Conde-Agudelo A, Díaz-Rossello JL. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, CD002771.
21 trials, 3,042 low-birth-weight babies. Kangaroo care reduced death, serious infection and hypothermia, and improved weight gain and breastfeeding.
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Meta2016
Early skin-to-skin contact for mothers and their healthy newborn infants (opens in a new tab)
Moore ER, Bergman N, Anderson GC, Medley N. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, CD003519.
46 trials, 3,850 women. Skin-to-skin right after birth increased breastfeeding at one to four months and improved blood sugar and heart-lung stability in healthy and late-preterm babies.
Cited inHold her skin to skin, early and oftenBreastfeed if you can, and do not lose sleep over the IQ claims
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Guideline2022
Sleep-related infant deaths: updated 2022 recommendations for reducing infant deaths in the sleep environment (opens in a new tab)
Moon RY, Carlin RF, Hand I; AAP Task Force on Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. Pediatrics, 150(1), e2022057990.
The current American Academy of Pediatrics guidance: back to sleep, firm flat surface, no soft bedding or inclined sleepers, room-sharing without bed-sharing for at least six months, avoid smoke and overheating.
Cited inOn her back, on a flat empty surface, in your roomKeep smoke, alcohol and lead away from herInclined sleepers, crib bumpers, weighted sleep sacks, positioners
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Web2022
How to keep your sleeping baby safe: AAP policy explained (opens in a new tab)
American Academy of Pediatrics. HealthyChildren.org.
The parent-facing version of the 2022 guideline. Short, current, and written for tired people.
Cited inOn her back, on a flat empty surface, in your roomInclined sleepers, crib bumpers, weighted sleep sacks, positioners
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Web2024
Trends in SUID rates by cause of death, 1990–2022 (opens in a new tab)
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC, Sudden Unexpected Infant Death and Sudden Infant Death Syndrome.
The official trend chart. SIDS fell from about 130 deaths per 100,000 births in 1990 to under 40 by the late 2010s. Deaths from all sudden unexpected causes plateaued near 90–100 per 100,000 after 2000 and have edged up since 2020, which is why the guidance now stresses the whole sleep environment.
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Observational2019
Maternal smoking before and during pregnancy and the risk of sudden unexpected infant death (opens in a new tab)
Anderson TM, Lavista Ferres JM, Ren SY, et al.. Pediatrics, 143(4), e20183325.
Every US birth 2007–2011, about 20 million. Any smoking in pregnancy roughly doubled the risk of sudden unexpected infant death, and the risk rose with each additional cigarette a day.
Cited inOn her back, on a flat empty surface, in your roomKeep smoke, alcohol and lead away from her
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RCT2008
Breastfeeding and child cognitive development: new evidence from a large randomized trial (opens in a new tab)
Kramer MS, Aboud F, Mironova E, et al.. Archives of General Psychiatry, 65(5), 578–584.
PROBIT: 31 maternity hospitals in Belarus randomised to a breastfeeding-promotion programme, 17,046 mother-baby pairs. At 6.5 years the promotion group scored about 5.9 IQ points higher, with a wide uncertainty range; teachers rated the children no differently.
Cited inBreastfeed if you can, and do not lose sleep over the IQ claims
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Follow-up2018
Breastfeeding during infancy and neurocognitive function in adolescence: 16-year follow-up of the PROBIT cluster-randomized trial (opens in a new tab)
Yang S, Martin RM, Oken E, et al.. PLoS Medicine, 15(4), e1002554.
Same children at 16. No meaningful differences on most tests; a small edge in verbal function only. The early IQ gap had largely faded.
Cited inBreastfeed if you can, and do not lose sleep over the IQ claims
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Guideline2008
Prevention of rickets and vitamin D deficiency in infants, children, and adolescents (opens in a new tab)
Wagner CL, Greer FR; AAP Section on Breastfeeding and Committee on Nutrition. Pediatrics, 122(5), 1142–1152.
The source of the 400 IU a day recommendation for breastfed babies, starting in the first days of life.
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Guideline2010
Diagnosis and prevention of iron deficiency and iron-deficiency anemia in infants and young children (0–3 years of age) (opens in a new tab)
Baker RD, Greer FR; AAP Committee on Nutrition. Pediatrics, 126(5), 1040–1050.
Iron-rich complementary foods from about six months, iron drops for exclusively breastfed babies from four months until then, and a blood check at 12 months.
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Review2006
Long-lasting neural and behavioral effects of iron deficiency in infancy (opens in a new tab)
Lozoff B, Beard J, Connor J, Felt B, Georgieff M, Schallert T. Nutrition Reviews, 64(5 Pt 2), S34–S43.
Why iron gets its own line: deficiency in the first two years is linked to lasting differences in attention, motor skill and learning, even after the iron is corrected.
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RCT2015
Randomized trial of peanut consumption in infants at risk for peanut allergy (opens in a new tab)
Du Toit G, Roberts G, Sayre PH, et al.. New England Journal of Medicine, 372(9), 803–813.
LEAP: 640 babies aged 4–11 months with severe eczema or egg allergy, randomised to eat or avoid peanut until age five. Allergy developed in 17.2% of avoiders and 3.2% of eaters, an 81% relative reduction. It reversed decades of avoidance advice.
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Guideline2017
Addendum guidelines for the prevention of peanut allergy in the United States (opens in a new tab)
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. NIAID, food allergy guidelines.
How the LEAP result became advice: introduce peanut-containing foods early for most babies, but have high-risk babies (severe eczema, egg allergy) seen by a clinician first.
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Meta2020
Tummy time and infant health outcomes: a systematic review (opens in a new tab)
Hewitt L, Kerr E, Stanley RM, Okely AD. Pediatrics, 145(6), e20192168.
16 studies, 4,237 babies. Tummy time was linked to better gross-motor and overall development and fewer flattened heads. The authors rated the evidence low quality, so: consistent, not conclusive.
Cited inTummy time, in short bursts, while she is awake and watchedFlat spots mostly round out on their own. Helmets did not beat waiting
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Guideline2019
Guidelines on physical activity, sedentary behaviour and sleep for children under 5 years of age (opens in a new tab)
World Health Organization. WHO.
For babies under one: interactive floor play several times a day, at least 30 minutes of tummy time spread across the day, no screens, and no more than an hour at a stretch strapped in.
Cited inTummy time, in short bursts, while she is awake and watched
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Meta2019
Consequences of maternal postpartum depression: a systematic review of maternal and infant outcomes (opens in a new tab)
Slomian J, Honvo G, Emonts P, Reginster JY, Bruyère O. Women’s Health, 15, 1745506519844044.
122 studies. Postpartum depression is linked to poorer bonding, less breastfeeding, more infant sleep problems, and poorer cognitive, language and behavioural outcomes for the child.
Cited inTreating a parent's depression is also a child intervention
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Observational2005
Paternal depression in the postnatal period and child development: a prospective population study (opens in a new tab)
Ramchandani P, Stein A, Evans J, O’Connor TG; ALSPAC study team. The Lancet, 365(9478), 2201–2205.
About 13,000 fathers. Depression in fathers at eight weeks predicted behaviour problems in their children at age three and a half, independent of the mother’s mood.
Cited inTreating a parent's depression is also a child intervention
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Guideline2019
Incorporating recognition and management of perinatal depression into pediatric practice (opens in a new tab)
Earls MF, Yogman MW, Mattson G, Rafferty J; AAP Committee on Psychosocial Aspects of Child and Family Health. Pediatrics, 143(1), e20183259.
Why your baby’s doctor asks how you are: the AAP recommends screening mothers for depression at the 1, 2, 4 and 6-month visits, because it is a child-health issue.
Cited inTreating a parent's depression is also a child intervention
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Observational1998
Language of early- and later-identified children with hearing loss (opens in a new tab)
Yoshinaga-Itano C, Sedey AL, Coulter DK, Mehl AL. Pediatrics, 102(5), 1161–1171.
Children whose hearing loss was found and treated before six months had language close to hearing peers. Those found later did not, regardless of how severe the loss was.
Cited inKeep the visits, the hearing test and the milestone checks"The first 1000 days" is real, but it is not a cliff
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Guideline2019
Year 2019 position statement: principles and guidelines for early hearing detection and intervention programs (opens in a new tab)
Joint Committee on Infant Hearing. Journal of Early Hearing Detection and Intervention, 4(2), 1–44.
The 1-3-6 rule: hearing screened by one month, diagnosed by three, intervention started by six.
Cited inKeep the visits, the hearing test and the milestone checks
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RCT2010
Randomized, controlled trial of an intervention for toddlers with autism: the Early Start Denver Model (opens in a new tab)
Dawson G, Rogers S, Munson J, et al.. Pediatrics, 125(1), e17–e23.
48 toddlers aged 18–30 months. Two years of play-based intensive intervention produced an IQ gain of about 18 points versus 7 in the comparison group, plus better adaptive skills.
Cited inKeep the visits, the hearing test and the milestone checks
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Guideline2020
Identification, evaluation, and management of children with autism spectrum disorder (opens in a new tab)
Hyman SL, Levy SE, Myers SM; AAP Council on Children with Disabilities. Pediatrics, 145(1), e20193447.
Developmental surveillance at every visit, standardised screening at 9, 18 and 30 months, autism-specific screening at 18 and 24 months.
Cited inKeep the visits, the hearing test and the milestone checks
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Web2024
Learn the signs. Act early. (opens in a new tab)
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC developmental milestones programme.
Free milestone checklists by age (revised 2022 to the ages most children reach each skill) and a tracker app. If something is off, this is where “trust your gut, ask” starts.
Cited inKeep the visits, the hearing test and the milestone checks
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Meta2016
Spanking and child outcomes: old controversies and new meta-analyses (opens in a new tab)
Gershoff ET, Grogan-Kaylor A. Journal of Family Psychology, 30(4), 453–469.
75 studies, about 161,000 children. Spanking was associated with worse results on 13 of 17 outcomes (aggression, mental health, parent-child relationship, cognition) and better results on none.
Cited inDo not hit. Warm and firm carries the day; harsh does notWarm and firmRemoving harm does more than adding enrichment
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Guideline2018
Effective discipline to raise healthy children (opens in a new tab)
Sege RD, Siegel BS; AAP Council on Child Abuse and Neglect; Committee on Psychosocial Aspects of Child and Family Health. Pediatrics, 142(6), e20183112.
The AAP’s formal position against spanking and harsh verbal punishment, with what to do instead.
Cited inDo not hit. Warm and firm carries the day; harsh does not
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Meta2005
Low-level environmental lead exposure and children’s intellectual function: an international pooled analysis (opens in a new tab)
Lanphear BP, Hornung R, Khoury J, et al.. Environmental Health Perspectives, 113(7), 894–899.
1,333 children across seven studies. IQ fell most steeply at the lowest blood-lead levels, which is why “a little” is not fine.
Cited inKeep smoke, alcohol and lead away from herRemoving harm does more than adding enrichment
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Web2021
CDC updates blood lead reference value to 3.5 µg/dL (opens in a new tab)
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC Childhood Lead Poisoning Prevention.
There is no known safe level of lead in a child. Main sources: paint in homes built before 1978, old pipes, some imported goods and spices.
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Web2024
About fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) (opens in a new tab)
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC.
No amount of alcohol in pregnancy is known to be safe; FASDs are the leading preventable cause of intellectual disability.
22 sources
Mixed, oversold, or harmful
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Meta2020
Associations between screen use and child language skills: a systematic review and meta-analysis (opens in a new tab)
Madigan S, McArthur BA, Anhorn C, Eirich R, Christakis DA. JAMA Pediatrics, 174(7), 665–675.
42 studies, 18,905 children. More screen time went with lower language skills; higher-quality content and watching together went with better language. Observational, so it shows association, not proof of cause.
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Experiment2017
Baby FaceTime: can toddlers learn from online video chat? (opens in a new tab)
Myers LJ, LeWitt RB, Gallo RE, Maselli NM. Developmental Science, 20(4), e12430.
Toddlers aged 12–25 months learned new words and patterns from a live video-chat partner who responded to them, but not from the same partner pre-recorded. Responsiveness, not the screen, is what matters.
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Guideline2016
Media and young minds (opens in a new tab)
AAP Council on Communications and Media. Pediatrics, 138(5), e20162591.
Under 18 months: avoid screens other than video chat. 18–24 months: high-quality programmes, watched together. Ages 2–5: at most an hour a day, watched together.
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Observational2007
Associations between media viewing and language development in children under age 2 years (opens in a new tab)
Zimmerman FJ, Christakis DA, Meltzoff AN. Journal of Pediatrics, 151(4), 364–368.
1,008 families. For babies aged 8–16 months, each daily hour of “baby DVDs” was associated with about 17 fewer words understood out of 90 tested. Reading and storytelling went the other way. Disney later offered refunds on Baby Einstein.
Cited inScreens mostly matter because of what they replace"Educational" baby videos and infant reading programmes
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RCT2016
Behavioral interventions for infant sleep problems: a randomized controlled trial (opens in a new tab)
Gradisar M, Jackson K, Spurrier NJ, et al.. Pediatrics, 137(6), e20151486.
43 babies aged 6–16 months. Graduated waiting and bedtime fading both improved sleep; no differences in stress hormones, attachment security or behaviour at 12-month follow-up; parents were less stressed.
Cited inSleep training is contested in public and fairly settled in the trials
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Follow-up2012
Five-year follow-up of harms and benefits of behavioral infant sleep intervention: randomized trial (opens in a new tab)
Price AMH, Wake M, Ukoumunne OC, Hiscock H. Pediatrics, 130(4), 643–651.
326 children at age six. No differences in emotional or behavioural problems, sleep, stress regulation, or child-parent relationship between sleep-trained and comparison groups.
Cited inSleep training is contested in public and fairly settled in the trials
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Follow-up2014
Early childhood investments substantially boost adult health (opens in a new tab)
Campbell F, Conti G, Heckman JJ, et al.. Science, 343(6178), 1478–1485.
The Abecedarian trial: intensive full-day care from infancy to five for disadvantaged children, randomised in the 1970s. In their mid-30s, treated participants had markedly lower cardiovascular and metabolic risk.
Cited inThe famous preschool wins were for very disadvantaged childrenThe strongest trials come from high-risk populations
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Follow-up2010
The rate of return to the HighScope Perry Preschool Program (opens in a new tab)
Heckman JJ, Moon SH, Pinto R, Savelyev PA, Yavitz A. Journal of Public Economics, 94(1–2), 114–128.
The famous 7–10% annual return estimate. Note what it studied: a two-year preschool for very disadvantaged three- and four-year-olds in the 1960s, not typical daycare.
Cited inThe famous preschool wins were for very disadvantaged children
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Observational2010
Do effects of early child care extend to age 15 years? Results from the NICHD Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development (opens in a new tab)
Vandell DL, Belsky J, Burchinal M, Steinberg L, Vandergrift N; NICHD Early Child Care Research Network. Child Development, 81(3), 737–756.
About 1,300 US children followed to 15. Higher-quality care predicted slightly better academic scores; more hours predicted slightly more impulsivity and risk-taking. Both effects small; family factors much larger.
Cited inThe famous preschool wins were for very disadvantaged children
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Follow-up1998
Long-term effects of nurse home visitation on children’s criminal and antisocial behavior: 15-year follow-up of a randomized controlled trial (opens in a new tab)
Olds D, Henderson CR, Cole R, et al.. JAMA, 280(14), 1238–1244.
Nurse-Family Partnership. Nurse home visits through pregnancy and the first two years, for low-income first-time mothers, produced fewer arrests and less running away when the children were 15.
Cited inThe famous preschool wins were for very disadvantaged childrenThe strongest trials come from high-risk populations
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Meta2018
Is bilingualism associated with enhanced executive functioning in adults? A meta-analytic review (opens in a new tab)
Lehtonen M, Soveri A, Laine A, Järvenpää J, de Bruin A, Antfolk J. Psychological Bulletin, 144(4), 394–425.
152 studies. A tiny advantage that disappeared once publication bias was corrected. Being bilingual is a fine thing to be; the brain-upgrade claim does not survive the correction.
Cited inTwo languages are worth having. The brain-upgrade claim has not held up
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Experiment2013
There is no coherent evidence for a bilingual advantage in executive processing (opens in a new tab)
Paap KR, Greenberg ZI. Cognitive Psychology, 66(2), 232–258.
Three studies, 15 measures of executive function: no bilingual advantage on any.
Cited inTwo languages are worth having. The brain-upgrade claim has not held up
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Experiment2016
Singing delays the onset of infant distress (opens in a new tab)
Corbeil M, Trehub SE, Peretz I. Infancy, 21(3), 373–391.
Babies aged 7–10 months stayed calm about twice as long listening to singing as to speech, even in an unfamiliar language. Singing works as soothing; the claim is not that it raises IQ.
Cited inSing to her, and skip the music class if the goal is IQ
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RCT2013
Two randomized trials provide no consistent evidence for nonmusical cognitive benefits of brief preschool music enrichment (opens in a new tab)
Mehr SA, Schachner A, Katz RC, Spelke ES. PLoS ONE, 8(12), e82007.
Preschool music classes versus visual-art classes versus nothing. Music improved music; it did not improve spatial, numerical or language skills.
Cited inSing to her, and skip the music class if the goal is IQ
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Meta2010
Mozart effect–Shmozart effect: a meta-analysis (opens in a new tab)
Pietschnig J, Voracek M, Formann AK. Intelligence, 38(3), 314–323.
39 studies, about 3,000 people. The “Mozart effect” on spatial ability is tiny, not specific to Mozart, and inflated by publication bias.
Cited inSing to her, and skip the music class if the goal is IQ
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Meta2013
Massage for promoting mental and physical health in typically developing infants under the age of six months (opens in a new tab)
Bennett C, Underdown A, Barlow J. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, CD005038.
34 studies. Low-quality evidence with no convincing benefit for healthy full-term babies on growth, sleep, crying or bonding. No harm either.
Cited inBaby massage is lovely and, for healthy babies, unproven
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RCT2013
To sign or not to sign? The impact of encouraging infants to gesture on infant language and maternal mind-mindedness (opens in a new tab)
Kirk E, Howlett N, Pine KJ, Fletcher BC. Child Development, 84(2), 574–590.
40 mother-baby pairs, 8–20 months. Baby sign did not speed language. Mothers who used it did become more responsive to their baby’s non-verbal cues.
Cited inBaby sign does not speed talking. It may make you more attentive
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RCT2014
Helmet therapy in infants with positional skull deformation: randomised controlled trial (opens in a new tab)
van Wijk RM, van Vlimmeren LA, Groothuis-Oudshoorn CGM, Van der Ploeg CPB, IJzerman MJ, Boere-Boonekamp MM. BMJ, 348, g2741.
84 babies aged five to six months with moderate-to-severe flattening. Helmets versus waiting: no difference in skull shape at two years, and helmet side effects were common.
Cited inFlat spots mostly round out on their own. Helmets did not beat waiting
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Web2023
Safely soothing teething pain and sensory needs in babies and older children (opens in a new tab)
US Food and Drug Administration. FDA Consumer Updates.
The FDA’s warning against teething jewellery (after a death and injuries) and against benzocaine teething gels for babies. A cold washcloth or a solid rubber teether is the recommendation.
Cited inAmber teething necklaces and benzocaine teething gels
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Web2023
Amber teething necklaces: a caution for parents (opens in a new tab)
American Academy of Pediatrics. HealthyChildren.org.
No evidence they relieve teething pain; documented strangulation and choking risks.
Cited inAmber teething necklaces and benzocaine teething gels
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Observational2018
Infant walker-related injuries in the United States (opens in a new tab)
Sims A, Chounthirath T, Yang J, Hodges NL, Smith GA. Pediatrics, 142(4), e20174332.
About 230,000 US emergency visits for walker injuries in children under 15 months from 1990 to 2014, mostly head injuries from falls down stairs. Injuries fell after a 2010 safety standard but continue.
Cited inBaby walkers
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Web2023
Baby walkers: a dangerous choice (opens in a new tab)
American Academy of Pediatrics. HealthyChildren.org.
The AAP’s plain statement: walkers cause injuries, do not help babies walk sooner, and the Academy has called for a ban. Canada banned them in 2004.
Cited inBaby walkers
7 sources
What carries forward
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Observational2013
Parent praise to 1- to 3-year-olds predicts children’s motivational frameworks 5 years later (opens in a new tab)
Gunderson EA, Gripshover SJ, Romero C, Dweck CS, Goldin-Meadow S, Levine SC. Child Development, 84(5), 1526–1541.
53 families recorded at home. The share of praise aimed at effort and strategy (“you worked hard on that“) rather than the child (“you’re so smart“) predicted a growth mindset five years later.
Cited inEffort praise
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Review2011
Interventions shown to aid executive function development in children 4 to 12 years old (opens in a new tab)
Diamond A, Lee K. Science, 333(6045), 959–964.
What builds self-control and planning: practice that is challenging, repeated and enjoyable, including pretend play, games with rules, physical activity and some curricula. Later replications of specific curricula have been mixed.
Cited inSelf-control practice
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Observational1998
Relationship of childhood abuse and household dysfunction to many of the leading causes of death in adults (opens in a new tab)
Felitti VJ, Anda RF, Nordenberg D, et al.. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 14(4), 245–258.
The original ACE study, 9,508 adults. The more categories of childhood adversity a person had lived through, the higher their adult risk of heart disease, cancer, depression and early death.
Cited inUnbuffered adversity
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Web2024
Toxic stress (opens in a new tab)
Center on the Developing Child, Harvard University. developingchild.harvard.edu.
The distinction that matters: ordinary stress buffered by a responsive adult is fine and even useful; prolonged, unbuffered stress is what damages developing systems.
Cited inUnbuffered adversity
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Review1992
Developmental theories for the 1990s: development and individual differences (opens in a new tab)
Scarr S. Child Development, 63(1), 1–19.
The “good enough parenting” argument in its scholarly form: within the normal range, children are sturdy and variation in parenting produces small differences in outcomes.
Cited inChildren are sturdier than we fearChildren are sturdier than we fear
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Review2015
Genetics and intelligence differences: five special findings (opens in a new tab)
Plomin R, Deary IJ. Molecular Psychiatry, 20(1), 98–108.
The heritability of intelligence rises from about 20% in infancy to about 60% in adulthood, and the shared-home contribution shrinks. Homes matter enormously for many things; test scores in ordinary homes are not the best example.
Cited inChildren are sturdier than we fearChildren are sturdier than we fear
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Book1999
The Myth of the First Three Years (opens in a new tab)
Bruer JT. Free Press.
The classic critique of “critical period” marketing. Some of its scepticism has since been softened by the Bucharest and hearing-loss evidence, but its warning about turning neuroscience into parental anxiety stands.
Cited in"The first 1000 days" is real, but it is not a cliff
7 sources
Frameworks and reading evidence
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Review2017
Early childhood development coming of age: science through the life course (opens in a new tab)
Black MM, Walker SP, Fernald LCH, et al.. The Lancet, 389(10064), 77–90.
The opening paper of the Lancet early-childhood series: about 250 million children under five in lower-income countries at risk of not reaching their potential, and the science of why the early years matter.
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Review2017
Nurturing care: promoting early childhood development (opens in a new tab)
Britto PR, Lye SJ, Proulx K, et al.. The Lancet, 389(10064), 91–102.
Defines the five components of nurturing care this site is organised around, and reviews which interventions work.
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Web2018
Nurturing care for early childhood development: a framework (opens in a new tab)
World Health Organization, UNICEF, World Bank Group. nurturing-care.org.
The consensus framework: good health, adequate nutrition, safety and security, responsive caregiving, opportunities for early learning.
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Review2008
GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations (opens in a new tab)
Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Vist GE, et al.; GRADE Working Group. BMJ, 336(7650), 924–926.
The system most guideline bodies now use to grade evidence as high, moderate, low or very low. Kura’s moon scale is a plain-language cousin of it.
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Review2007
Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics (opens in a new tab)
Gigerenzer G, Gaissmaier W, Kurz-Milcke E, Schwartz LM, Woloshin S. Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 8(2), 53–96.
Why “cuts risk by 50%” can mean almost nothing, and why absolute numbers (“from 2 in 100 to 1 in 100“) are the honest format. Worth reading before the next health headline.
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Experiment2015
Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science (opens in a new tab)
Open Science Collaboration. Science, 349(6251), aac4716.
100 published psychology findings re-run; about a third to a half replicated. The reason a single exciting study, especially a small one, deserves a raised eyebrow.
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Meta2000
A meta-analysis of fear appeals: implications for effective public health campaigns (opens in a new tab)
Witte K, Allen M. Health Education & Behavior, 27(5), 591–615.
Scaring people works only when paired with a clear sense that they can act. Fear without efficacy produces avoidance. The reason this site keeps saying that children are sturdier than we fear.
Cited inChildren are sturdier than we fearEfficacy over fear
14 sources
How this site is built
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Experiment1988
Cognitive load during problem solving: effects on learning (opens in a new tab)
Sweller J. Cognitive Science, 12(2), 257–285.
The founding paper of cognitive load theory: working memory is small, and material that overloads it is not learned.
Cited inLayer it
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Web2006
Progressive disclosure (opens in a new tab)
Nielsen J. Nielsen Norman Group.
Show the essentials first and let people ask for more. The usability rationale for the “learn more” layer on every card.
Cited inLayer it
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Meta2011
Low health literacy and health outcomes: an updated systematic review (opens in a new tab)
Berkman ND, Sheridan SL, Donahue KE, Halpern DJ, Crotty K. Annals of Internal Medicine, 155(2), 97–107.
Health information people cannot easily read leads to worse health. The case for plain language with the technical term attached, rather than either alone.
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Meta2014
Evidence-based risk communication: a systematic review (opens in a new tab)
Zipkin DA, Umscheid CA, Keating NL, et al.. Annals of Internal Medicine, 161(4), 270–280.
91 studies. Absolute risks beat relative risks, natural frequencies (“3 in 100“) beat percentages, and pictographs (icon arrays) improve understanding, especially for people less comfortable with numbers.
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Meta2017
Designing visual aids that promote risk literacy: a systematic review of health research and evidence-based design heuristics (opens in a new tab)
Garcia-Retamero R, Cokely ET. Human Factors, 59(4), 582–627.
How to draw an icon array so it helps rather than misleads: same denominator, part-to-whole visible, one comparison per figure.
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Review2011
GRADE guidelines: 3. Rating the quality of evidence (opens in a new tab)
Balshem H, Helfand M, Schünemann HJ, et al.. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 64(4), 401–406.
The four-level evidence scale and what moves a body of evidence up or down it.
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Review2020
The Debunking Handbook 2020 (opens in a new tab)
Lewandowsky S, Cook J, Ecker UKH, et al.. George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication.
Lead with the fact, warn about the myth once, explain why it is wrong, repeat the fact. The reason the “oversold” pages here never open with the myth.
Cited inFacts first
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Review2022
The psychological drivers of misinformation belief and its resistance to correction (opens in a new tab)
Ecker UKH, Lewandowsky S, Cook J, et al.. Nature Reviews Psychology, 1, 13–29.
Why repeated myths feel true and how corrections work best.
Cited inFacts first
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Experiment2006
Test-enhanced learning: taking memory tests improves long-term retention (opens in a new tab)
Roediger HL, Karpicke JD. Psychological Science, 17(3), 249–255.
Being quizzed on material beats re-reading it for remembering a week later, which is why there is a quiz.
Cited inAsk before you tell
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Experiment2009
The pretesting effect: do unsuccessful retrieval attempts enhance learning? (opens in a new tab)
Richland LE, Kornell N, Kao LS. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 15(3), 243–257.
Guessing before you learn improves what you remember, even when the guess is wrong, which is why the quiz asks first and explains after.
Cited inAsk before you tell
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Review2003
Nine ways to reduce cognitive load in multimedia learning (opens in a new tab)
Mayer RE, Moreno R. Educational Psychologist, 38(1), 43–52.
The evidence for segmenting, signalling, cutting decoration, and pairing words with pictures rather than words with more words.
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Meta2006
Implementation intentions and goal achievement: a meta-analysis of effects and processes (opens in a new tab)
Gollwitzer PM, Sheeran P. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, 38, 69–119.
94 studies. “If situation X, then I will do Y” plans roughly double the chance of following through. The reason the “in practice” tips are written as if-then lines.
Cited inAdvice written as if-then plans
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Observational2009
A surgical safety checklist to reduce morbidity and mortality in a global population (opens in a new tab)
Haynes AB, Weiser TG, Berry WR, et al.. New England Journal of Medicine, 360(5), 491–499.
A 19-item checklist cut surgical deaths and complications by about a third across eight hospitals. Checklists work for experts under pressure, which describes new parents.
Cited inA page for the fridge
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Guideline2023
Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG) 2.2 (opens in a new tab)
World Wide Web Consortium (W3C). W3C Recommendation.
The contrast, text-size, focus and motion rules this site is built to. Every text colour here clears the 4.5:1 minimum in both themes.
Cited inBuilt for one eye open at 3 a